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For the predictions competing for the early forecast, do they still have the time-weighting applied, or are all forecasts before the deadline judged using raw brier score for the purposes of the early forecast prize?
Good question, yes the early forecasts will also have time-weighting applied.
For the predictions competing for the early forecast, do they still have the time-weighting applied, or are all forecasts before the deadline judged using raw brier score for the purposes of the early forecast prize?
Good question, yes the early forecasts will also have time-weighting applied.