Mike’s Blog

How to Make a Tribe

Thoughts on US Military Boot Camp

May 14 • 

Mike Saint-Antoine

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December 2024

Errata

Hi everyone, I realized that I made a mistake in my recent post Scoring 2024 Election Forecasts, so I’m writing to correct it and apologize.

Dec 10, 2024 • 

Mike Saint-Antoine

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Scoring 2024 Election Forecasts

How accurate were prediction markets?

Dec 4, 2024 • 

Mike Saint-Antoine

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November 2024

Crowdsourced Election Forecast, As Well As My Own

Thank you to everyone who entered the 2024 election forecasting contest! The winners of the cash prizes will be announced once the election results are…

Nov 5, 2024 • 

Mike Saint-Antoine

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October 2024

2024 Election Forecasting Contest - One Week Left!

Here’s the link to sign up and enter your predictions!

Oct 29, 2024 • 

Mike Saint-Antoine

Announcing 2024 Election Forecasting Contest

Here’s the link to sign up and enter your predictions!

Oct 4, 2024 • 

Mike Saint-Antoine

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September 2024

Puppies and Angry Customers

An Economic Parable

Sep 12, 2024 • 

Mike Saint-Antoine

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KALSHI WINS LAWSUIT AGAINST CFTC!!!

The prediction market platform Kalshi announced on their company Discord serve (which is open to the public) that they’ve won their lawsuit against the…

Sep 6, 2024 • 

Mike Saint-Antoine

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July 2024

Ode to the American Tinkerer

My favorite thing about this country is the feeling that you can just do things.

Jul 4, 2024 • 

Mike Saint-Antoine

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May 2024

Book Review: Build, Baby, Build

In Build, Baby, Build, economist Bryan Caplan tries a new strategy that, as far as I know, no libertarian has ever attempted before: actually…

May 27, 2024 • 

Mike Saint-Antoine

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March 2024

2024 Oscars Prediction Market Comparison

Manifold, Kalshi, Polymarket, and DraftKings

Mar 11, 2024 • 

Mike Saint-Antoine

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December 2023

The Case for Legalizing Prediction Markets

In October 2022, Bloomberg published an article with the headline “Forecast for US Recession Within Year Hits 100% in Blow to Biden.” A hundred percent…

Dec 7, 2023 • 

Mike Saint-Antoine

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